Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024717 0.026582 0.028527 0.030710 0.033095 0.035623 0.038512
2025-01-19 0.021930 0.024623 0.027581 0.031079 0.035118 0.039651 0.045144
2025-01-26 0.019837 0.022998 0.026604 0.031044 0.036394 0.042669 0.050641
2025-02-02 0.018500 0.022016 0.026153 0.031419 0.037994 0.046003 0.056600
2025-02-09 0.017119 0.020814 0.025276 0.031115 0.038629 0.048079 0.061029
2025-02-16 0.016048 0.019882 0.024620 0.030974 0.039375 0.050251 0.065642
2025-02-23 0.015088 0.019007 0.023949 0.030724 0.039903 0.052104 0.069886
2025-03-02 0.014343 0.018350 0.023497 0.030700 0.040685 0.054293 0.074692
2025-03-09 0.013531 0.017547 0.022794 0.030270 0.040851 0.055599 0.078279
2025-03-16 0.012749 0.016737 0.022026 0.029690 0.040743 0.056473 0.081246
2025-03-23 0.012147 0.016137 0.021506 0.029412 0.041025 0.057895 0.085099
2025-03-30 0.011600 0.015582 0.021014 0.029136 0.041276 0.059259 0.088922
2025-04-06 0.010970 0.014886 0.020295 0.028499 0.040961 0.059760 0.091438
2025-04-13 0.010670 0.014643 0.020208 0.028781 0.042044 0.062465 0.097719
2025-04-20 0.010296 0.014275 0.019918 0.028737 0.042609 0.064376 0.102807
2025-04-27 0.010058 0.014091 0.019885 0.029076 0.043783 0.067320 0.109866
2025-05-04 0.009668 0.013665 0.019472 0.028798 0.043946 0.068605 0.114102
2025-05-11 0.009344 0.013322 0.019165 0.028669 0.044334 0.070275 0.119137
2025-05-18 0.009014 0.012958 0.018810 0.028441 0.044539 0.071632 0.123684
2025-05-25 0.008756 0.012691 0.018591 0.028419 0.045081 0.073595 0.129505
2025-06-01 0.008424 0.012298 0.018160 0.028027 0.044967 0.074383 0.133119
2025-06-08 0.008079 0.011873 0.017661 0.027498 0.044583 0.074659 0.135736
2025-06-15 0.007816 0.011565 0.017336 0.027244 0.044664 0.075776 0.140106